Teller Report

Sovcombank did not rule out the possibility of reducing the key rate of the Central Bank to 6-7% in 2024

12/7/2023, 2:56:53 PM

Highlights: Mikhail Avtukhov presented a "super positive" scenario for the development of the Russian economy for 2024. The forecast assumes a sharp slowdown in inflation, a reduction in the key rate and a strong strengthening of the ruble. The country can expect an influx of foreign investment, which will lead to a multiple growth in financial markets, he said. He also said that any crisis is a time of opportunities, when it is necessary to focus on internal resources. He was speaking at the XXI Russian Bond Congress.

Mikhail Avtukhov, Deputy Chairman of the Management Board of Sovcombank, presented a "super-positive" scenario for the development of the Russian economy for 2024. The forecast assumes a sharp slowdown in inflation, a reduction in the key rate and a strong strengthening of the ruble.


"The economy today shows high adaptability and stability. This suggests that the prospects for the development of the market are still more positive than negative," Avtukhov said during his speech at the XXI Russian Bond Congress.

As part of the discussion of the possible development of the situation in the Russian economy and capital markets, the Deputy Chairman of Sovcombank presented a "super positive" forecast for 2024. The scenario assumes, in particular, a slowdown in inflation to 5%, a reduction in the key rate of the Central Bank to the level of 6-7% per annum, and a tangible strengthening of the ruble exchange rate.

In addition, according to the top manager, the country can expect an influx of foreign investment and the return of international investors, which will lead to a multiple growth in financial markets, an increase in the value of assets and a radical decrease in bond yields.

At the same time, as Mikhail Autukhov emphasized, any crisis is a time of opportunities, when it is necessary to focus on internal resources.